Dubai’s real estate market is set for its most active summer on record, with total transaction volumes anticipated to exceed $40 billion between June and August 2025. According to analytics reviewed by real estate agency Elite Merit Real Estate LLC, the market surged to AED142.7 billion ($38.9 billion) in Q1 2025 alone—marking a 22 percent year-on-year increase and laying the groundwork for summer spending in the AED150–160 billion ($41–44 billion) range. In comparison, Summer 2024 concluded with just over $33 billion in total transactions, positioning this year’s forecast for a potential 25–30 percent seasonal increase.
A key driver of this trend is the maturing development pipeline. Projects launched in 2023–24 are now entering their final construction stages, providing investors in Summer 2025 with a last-chance opportunity to secure units before completion-linked price increases take effect. Off-plan activity now comprises over 63 percent of all transactions—up from 54 percent last year—underscoring the growing confidence in the city’s development trajectory.
This surge in activity is unfolding against a favorable backdrop: sustained price appreciation, strong off-plan momentum, and improving macroeconomic conditions are combining to create what many perceive as a limited-time opportunity for global investors. Apartments are projected to appreciate by 6–9 percent year-on-year, while villa prices could increase by 7–10 percent, supported by tight inventory and ongoing international demand. Off-plan units in emerging areas such as Arjan and JVC are expected to yield capital gains of 15–25 percent by handover.
Read more: Summer real estate boom in Dubai to drive record sales, rentals: Report
New opportunities for buyers
Historically a quieter quarter due to seasonal travel, Q3 now presents buyers with enhanced negotiation leverage. Developers are responding to this dynamic with attractive post-handover payment plans and limited-time summer incentives, particularly in the mid-luxury segment.
“Summer 2025 offers a compelling value window that we expect will close quickly by Q4,” said Elkhan Salikhov, CEO at Elite Merit Real Estate. “We’re seeing a convergence of factors—pricing still below peak, soft summer inventory pressure, and upcoming project handovers—creating an ideal moment for experienced buyers.”
